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Original Message

Blu-Ray is winning the battle for shelf space (but I'm not selling the HD DVD player yet)

Posted by 4season on June 30, 2007 at 11:48:00:

This is my totally unscientific opinion, based on visiting a couple of shops today: Next week, the situation could change, but for reasons I'll get to momentarily, I think I'm seeing a trend.

Both shops had been very format-neutral, carrying about the same depth and quality of movie for either. But here, the number of titles matters! Blu-Ray is literally crowding out HD DVD on the shelves, because there are simply more recent movies being released in Blu-Ray.

Part of me wants to trade in the Playstation 2 for a Playstation 3, and sell the HD DVD player! But what holds me back is that, although fewer in number, I think HD DVD has got better movies, and who can say when, or if, any will be reissued in B-D. So although I didn't really want the clutter of having two disc players and two formats of HD movies onhand, I think that exactly what I'll end up with in coming months. I specifically want the PS/3 because it's by far the best-supported Blu-Ray player out there, as it accounts for 75% of B-D player sales. If I buy a pricey dual-format player, it's such a niche product, who knows whether it'll ever get the firmware updates it needs to play future movies? No such problem with PS/3.

I still think there's a chance that both B-D and HD DVD could vanish from the shelves of major stores within 18 months, and PS/3 itself is performing dismally as a game console, but I'm enjoying this 1080p video enough to take this chance. If true high-def fails, it won't be due to apathy on my part ;-)