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Original Message
RE: Please stop being negative. See here the USA DVD facts from CE
Posted by David Aiken on June 29, 2007 at 17:16:14:
Interesting figures but I don't read as much into them as you do.
The big impoderable is how many PS3s are used for playing Blu-ray movies. Many may be used for games only, and some people may also use them as a stadard DVD player. There's no way of telling how many of those 1.5 million PS3s are actually being used as Blu-ray players and without that information you really can't compare the BD and HD player figures to the DVD player figures with any degree of reliability. Ditto for the Xbox figures.
What you've got that's directly comparable is a total of 250,000 stand-alond hi-def players around 1 year after initial release. That's not as good as the first year of DVD. Now some of the PS3 and Xbox sales do represent hi-def players so it's a fair bet that things are looking slightly better than in sales figures than DVD was after only 1 year, but it isn't by any means clear that hi-def player sales are really better than 2nd year DVD player sales, much less the 5th year figure you're claiming. I think you're really being overly optimistic by assuming that virtually every PS3/Xbox will be used as a hi-def player.
Don't get me wrong, I'd like to see hi-def survive and prosper, but I'm unimpressed by wishful thinking about what certain sales figures mean.
Instead of relying on sales figures for players, a more interesting comparison would be for number of movies released and no of discs sold compared to DVD. There you do have accurate comparability.
David Aiken