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Original Message

Using statistics to make bad assumptions

Posted by racerguy on July 1, 2007 at 19:59:13:

It seems a lot of BD fans are claiming, or at least wishfully thinking, that sales of PS/3s puts BD on top. The problem with that is it's all assumption, and we all know where that leads us.

Sadly, these claims/wishful thinking remind me a lot of the claims that DVD-Audio cheerleaders frequently made - that the proliferation of DVD players in the mass market meant that DVD-Audio would automatically "win" the format war against SACD, and that purchase of a DVD-Audio-capable DVD player meant that mass market consumers would naturally purchase DVD-Audio discs instead of CDs. Neither of those claims turned out to be correct.

Edit: this is not to say that BD fans are the only ones guilty of trying to make statistics fit their views; it's just that there seem to be more rabid BD fanboys circling around here than there are HD DVD fanboys :)