Video Asylum

TVs, VCRs, DVD players, Home Theater systems and more.

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Original Message

format wars: I predict

Posted by DavidLD on August 21, 2007 at 06:40:30:
Whoever can bring the price of a decent player in at under $100, and which format decides to sell disks at under $20 street price for recently available movies will uptimately win the battle regardless of which format might be technically superior.

But so long as players remain at $300 or more and a typical movie costs $25 or $30 on the street neither format will win, and indeed both formats will remain esoteric items mostly owned by a limited number of videophiles.

Any wider adoption awaits lower prices. The basic problem is that for most consumers a $25 player and a 480p disk offers a quality viewing experience, and the rest of it is too expensive and just a marginal gain. Consumers might eventually shift in significant numbers for something incrementally better, but not at today's prices.