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Original Message
"Really good movies being released...."
Posted by grantv on February 19, 2009 at 14:13:38:
Not sure what you mean by really good movies, but AFAIK they are not what sell the big numbers. "Mutiny on the Bounty" is not going to sell top numbers on DVD/Bluray. Blockbuster movies (Matrix, etc) are what sell. No?
Besides the economy...
I think the market is somewhat flooded. People have their collection (for those who collect) and will now trickle add some as new faves come along. But it's not a new thing anymore. And I personally can't imagine BD will by any means replace SD DVD. The move from VHS to DVD was huge to my eyes and worth it even as an early adopter. It was a digital revolution. :)
BD is not as large a jump (IMO), so it's not as if BD sales will take over where DVD drops off. Even just as far as being the same old disc.
So I think it's simply market saturation. And short of holographic presentation or a disc that fits in the palm of your hand (or less), I think the drop will continue. BD will rise for a while longer perhaps, but that too will even off and eventually drop. All IMO only.