Films/DVD Asylum

$63 million to $38 million? That $25 million dollar difference is substantial.

70.243.200.133

Audiophilander

In Reply to: RE: By this reasoning WALL-E didn't do very well. posted by sjb on June 29, 2008 at 17:32:32

Wall-E opened against a sleeper hit (Wanted), which pulled in $51 million. I suspect that Wall-E will get a huge bounce this week with the July 4th holiday family crowds (I predict this weeks Box Office take will carry it well over the $100 million mark while Get Smart continues to slide. The biggest competition for Wanted next weekend will be Hancock (both are action films for older audiences), but since Hancock is only garnering so-so reviews the weekend outcome for which does better financially is a toss-up. My prediction: Wall-E will be #1 at the Box Office again next weekend.
AuPh

Edits: 07/01/08

Follow Ups:

But it cost $40+ million more to make. So by your formula it didn't do well. - sjb 18:03:02 07/01/08 (2)
I mean... if you're going to apply ti consistently.
Of course there's no doubt (and never was) that it'll do better than Get Smart... but it's supposed to.
"You can safely assume you have created God in your own image when he hates all the same people you do."

Edits: 07/01/08
- The question still remains: how much better will WALL-E perform over all than Get Smart? It's just too early to tell. - Audiophilander 00:55:16 07/02/08 (1)
  Neither of us can answer that one; we can only speculate and contribute informed opinions. The labeling of something as a HIT or a MISS, a blockbuster or a bomb, etc., has many variables. In addition to the costs versus grosses, there is also repeat showing value, international sales figures, prospects for video rental & sales, and whether the film received critical acclaim or dismissal. The last factor isn't crucial because audience appreciation is unpredictable, but critical acclaim can't be ignored in assessing film's longevity and return on investment.
  
  My "formula"[sic] isn't a crystal ball! I never stated unequivocally that I would predict an outcome; all I did was to venture an informed opinion given the facts. My observations are based upon the timing of each film's release in a crowded summer schedule with lots of attractive films competing for the same dollars in the midst of a recession, ...as if the unchartered multiplex 'waters' weren't treacherous enough for the studios.
  
  Still, the bottom line ($$$) is the primary focus of this thread and it's going to take a couple of weeks to see where all the chips finally fall.
  
  May I politely suggest that if you're trying to turn this thread a pissing contest, it will serve no useful purpose, except perhaps your eventual embarrassment.
  
  Cheers,
  AuPh
  - I'm really just ribbing you... BUT... - sjb 10:41:49 07/02/08 (0)
    you yourself declared the Get Smart opening as not being very good (based on the cost of the movie) but the WALL-E opening was very similar (again, based on the cost of the movie).
    So either they both had good openings or they both had mediocre ones.
    As for the long term... again there's no doubt (and never was) that WALL-E will make more money.
    
    "You can safely assume you have created God in your own image when he hates all the same people you do."
    
    Edits: 07/02/08

Post a Followup:

FAQ

Post a Message!

Forgot Password?

Moniker (Username):
Password (Optional):
	Remember my Moniker & Password (What's this?) Eat Me
E-Mail (Optional):
Subject:

Message:	(Posts are subject to Content Rules)

Optional Link URL:
Optional Link Title:
Optional Image URL:
Upload Image:
E-mail Replies:	Automagically notify you when someone responds.

To view your new posting or follow-up, click on the RELOAD or REFRESH button on your browser.

This post is made possible by the generous support of people like you and our sponsors:

Amplified Parts