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In Reply to: RE: DVD sales shrunk in 2008 for the first year since the format's launch posted by Jazz Inmate on April 14, 2008 at 09:23:35
You'd think the whole "spinning disc" would eventually be replaced by card media like SD card. How long before they can crank the storage capacity of these cards to match a Blu-ray disc? No drawers, moving parts or lasers.
Makes sense?
The original advantage of optical disks was that they could be stamped out quickly and cheaply (although initial setup costs are very high), whereas 25-50 gigabytes of solid state storage is still kind of pricey. But 7 megabit DSL pricing has become pretty reasonable in my area, and high-def rentals from Apple have become a viable alternative to Blu-Ray as far as I'm concerned. I still want physical media for movies in my permanent collection, but that may comprise only 5-10% of what I watch.
I was delighted to find that the big independent video rental place in town now carries Blu-Ray, but costs for a 3-day rental are comparable to iTunes Music Store (30 days to watch, 24 hours to finish), and of course there's the physical media to be returned.
.... somewhere. Yeah, they're not chep (now), but in four years???!!!
Plus imagine the savings in storage space? Boggles the mind.
John Crossett___
It sounds like English, but I can't understand a word you're saying.
That's the point I was trying to make in my reply below. I'd think it's very likely that both DVD and BD will be displaced with something "better" by 2012. Will the card be as small as an SD card, hard to say. Will it be a spinning disc, I doubt it. I think something in between size-wise though. Who knows.
The format development and ensuing war between HD DVD and Blu-ray are not something studios, manufacturers and consumers will want to repeat anytime soon. Standardization is very difficult in the industry. The fact is that if Blu-ray fails, the alternative is downloadable/streaming HD that has horrible artifacts and is unlikely to be of much better quality than DVD barring a complete overhaul of the existing copper wire infrastructure.
If you like 1080p, blu-ray is the way to go.
-------------Call it, friendo.
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