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In Reply to: RE: Agreed, a single format stands the best chance IMO posted by 4season on June 13, 2007 at 11:35:52
While we all wanted a single format solution initially, that is no longer feasible because there is now too much product and both formats are gradually making inroads into the general consumer market. There are pros and cons to both Blu-ray & HD-DVD; as far as Joe Public is concerned the deciding factor will be pricing (hardware/software) as both high resolution formats are virtually indistinguishable quality-wise.
If I had to make a call on this one, HD-DVD has a slight advantage due to aggressive price dropping of it's hardware and so far, subjectively speaking, the most interesting selection of titles available. While I agree with you that it would've been nice if both camps joined forces before significant numbers of titles were on the shelves, it might not be to the advantage of the consumer at this juncture as the competition is driving prices down on both formats.
The next year end holiday cycle may be the turning point marketing-wise as more folks are enticed into buying 1080P display devices and will crave high definition sources beyond cable and OTA 760P & 1080I sources to feed them.
AuPh
Follow Ups:
I hope that ONE of the high-definition formats succeeds, even if it's the Other One. What with all of our nice 720p and 1080p panels, it would be a real shame if as far as movies went, it was "480p forever". So far I'm not seeing any enticing alternatives to B-D/HD DVD: Somehow, cable-on-demand or downloadable high-def content just isn't seeming real compelling right now and I don't see signs that this will change dramatically in the next few years.
Even with just one format, I don't think the masses would accept it. There is really no interest in HD-most don't care, and even less are willing to pay for it.
Remember, most people are buying HDTVs inadvertantly, they are buying by size. You cannot get a 50" or larger set that isn't HD anymore. people jut want BIG TVs, the factthat they are HD is secondary.
I'm comfortable with these formats being niche products-they can still be around for years to come.
Jack
High-def DVD (generic) really needs a substantial audience to support the depth and variety of programming that we desire, at prices we are comfy paying! Even those folks willing to spend $1200 for a combo player seem unwilling to pay $30-35 per movie, taking their business to a handful of discount mail order places instead.
I think the market for other niche formats like new vinyl may be quite different: An older audience willing to pay top dollar for the same program material they may already have in their collections, and they place a premium on new, never played media.
If Sony et al really want to get gutsy about HD, they should release movies in HD about a week before the regular DVD versions. That alone will probably rack up additional HD sales and will get everyone else to take notice of the new format. They don't need to know what 1080p is in order to suspect they are missing out on something good.
Actually, Universal and other HD DVD studios could only put out combos, and not do DVDs. Sony could have done that with SACD, but didn't.
Yes, I understand the reasons for wanting mass adoption, I just don't think it will happen.
Jack
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