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In Reply to: RE: Blu-ray will have price parity and probable features superiority within the year. posted by oscar on December 25, 2007 at 19:15:07
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>>> "Blu-ray will have price parity and probable features superiority within the year." <<<
Oscar, you may be missing the point that HD-DVD players will almost certainly continue to drop in price at the same time Blu-ray manufacturers reduce prices. When Blue-ray incrementally drops below $200 I suspect HD players will be in a better position to drop below $100 on average. Of course neither of us know how this will play out, but the upside for both formats is that cheaper players will attract new buyers and increase the likelihood of survival of both.
FTR, I'm still convinced that reasonably priced dual format players are the long term solution to the format war. Once the need to purchase two separate players disappears the studio exclusivity issue will vanish as well and then mainstream consumers will be less inclined to sit on the sidelines waiting for both camps to get over their competitive hissy-fit.
As far as features superiority, that isn't set in stone either, because I'm sure that both formats will continue to improve with each successive generation.
Cheers,
AuPh
Follow Ups:
They can't do much more within the 30G capacity limitation. The special features for Blu-ray are still lacking but profile 1.1 will start to level the "special-feature" field and I expect Blu-ray will eventually have the better features. Not that I care for the features, but I'm finding out my nephews/nieces/rest of the folks actually enjoyed the IME and "observational puzzles" set up for "Bourne Ultimatum".
HD DVD needs the 51G disc if it's even viable. It's probably the only way they have a shot at wooing Disney. But even if's possible with 1st,2nd,3rd generation HD DVD players, they still have the bandwidth limitation to deal with. Of course, a lot people don't see this as an issue. YMMV.
Mass market economies of scale will drop Blu-ray players below $99 if it ever takes off, that's the way electronics technology packaged by cheap Chinese labor has been working. (OTOH, I expect rising energy and associated shipping costs to eventually neutralize Chinese cheap labor manufacturing, but that's another topic).
Dual format players ? It's going to stay expensive until it's perfectly clear both formats are here to stay, and that's not a given anytime soon.
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