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In Reply to: RE: Anything else growing 224% ? posted by Ole Lund Christensen on December 07, 2009 at 12:17:16
That spec doesn't seem all that high TBH.
I'd think many of:
LCD's, DVD, plasma TV's, probably new video games, IPOD's and their ilk, etc all grew around the same in their infancy years, no?
I may be wrong, but it appears to be a fairly mild number.
Follow Ups:
The highest number I have seen on DVD was 136%, and DVD is often said to be the fastest growing CE product.
As I said, it just doesn't seem all that high to me. I know DVD was initially slow to start up, as I was a fairly early buyer ($900+ for the player, only one place in town rented them...).
I've gone the way of BD as we "needed" another player for our last TV in the house, so I did the BD thing. It's paired however with an old X1 PJ, so I'm not HD yet. One day I'll make the jump, maybe when my bulb dies, maybe sooner (it only has about 1200 hours on it IIRC).
Yup, everything I have seen shows the adoption (speed of market penetration) of DVD *players* was about the fastest of any consumer good. In the U.S. that is, and since they started keeping statistics (IIRC early B&W TV days).
What always amazes me is how slow CD was adopted. Others here won't be surprised...
As far as BD goes, that has been very (s)low in general, so a massive period-over-period growth rate for the last while isn't surprising to me. The price of BDPs is what did it IMO.
Consumer products normally follow the S curve, with a very slow start.
Once they take off like this 224%, success is almost sure.
Yes. I don't know why so many people seem to still insist it's a failure. Because it hasn't fully replaced DVD in 3 years? Color TV was nowhere in 3 years, took around 10 to even start significantly penetrating really. Big failure. People expect everything these days to happen so fast.
As many experienced pundits predicted, sub-$200 players would do it for BD. As it did for DVD. Also, it doesn't hurt that it's hard to buy a DVDP for $200 if that's what you have to spend, you pretty much have to get a BDP if you want a player of reasonable quality in that price range.
The people who say it's a failure supported HD DVD -- the lesser, inferior format -- and/or think downloads are the Holy Grail.
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