Home Video Asylum

TVs, VCRs, DVD players, Home Theater systems and more.

Actually I suggested Standalone player sales would be A metric.

I suspect actual software sales would be another important metric (which in theory will be highly influenced by relative standalone player sales). I don't know that we'd see a shift in the software numbers until well after the holidays (if there is one in favor of HD DVD).

Other possibly more important metrics include Blu-ray vs HD DVD disc production costs (though I expect this to be a wash in the long-term), DRM features (though it looks like BD+ has been thoroughly compromised) and what I think will be the more compelling argument: Storage and bandwidth capacity. Disney has already touted Blu-ray's advantages in this respect and Sony/Fox/Disney are routinely issuing movies which will not fit on the HD30 (aside from bandwidth issues). Which would make it painful for these studios to have to re-encode for HD DVD should they decide to switch.

The Special feature set support will also go up when the profile issues are resolved. The Studios have shown interest in IME/PIP/etc as potential differentiators between DVD and HD media. Storage/bandwidth issues again limit what HD DVD has been able to do while Blu-ray's features are still in development (unfortunately a disadvantage in the near-term and probably why the BDA hasn't tried to reach mass market pricing a la Toshiba).

Once Blu-ray get's their act together, they'll have far more flexibility in what can be offered with IME/PIP/BD-j/all the other frills I wouldn't give two hoots about. If HD DVD hasn't successfully killed off Blu-ray before this happens, expect Warner's, Universal et al to start paying attention.


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  • Actually I suggested Standalone player sales would be A metric. - oscar 05:23:19 11/26/07 (0)

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