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In Reply to: RE: Well, my point is about capacity posted by Jazz Inmate on August 20, 2007 at 17:27:42
;0)
Follow Ups:
-------------"I have found that if you love life, life will love you back." -Arthur Rubinstein (1887-1982)
Do Blu-ray's claims of having more 'juice' concentrate available make it a better value for thirsty consumers or are folks just being sold a Smoothie? ;0)
AuPh
Blu-ray has more capacity. What does that mean? Consider these comments from Disney's home video president, Chapek:
"The strides that we've made with this format are just the tip of the iceberg and we are confident that consumers will be astounded by the level of entertainment that can only be achieved by using the maximum capacity of the Blu-ray Disc format."
Think about that. If a format is to survive, it must have the flexibility to accomodate content and plans that may not be currently implemented, but could become a key part of the home video experience. Why would you purposefully CHOOSE to limit yourself with the format providing LESS capacity? It just doesn't make sense.
-------------"I have found that if you love life, life will love you back." -Arthur Rubinstein (1887-1982)
...would anyone assume that future technological advances with HD storage capacity would make HD-DVD any less efficient in handling expanded content?
Food for thought (with an Orange Julius on the side -grin).
AuPh
I doubt it. They'd probably have to do a spec rewrite and hardware redesign. I don't think it's in the cards. They didn't plan for anything more than 30G for the movie application.
Blu-Ray can play the same game (e.g. 200G Blu-Rays anyone ?)
HD DVD also has a tighter restriction on audio/video bitrate which I strongly suspect has already compromised PQ/SQ on certain HD DVD movies.
when the video 1.1 encoded discs get played on 1.0 machines? Hell, there have already been some issues, and the new spec discs aren't even out yet. I expect alot of hiccups with BD playback down the road. Hopefully, FW updates will do the trick. We'll see.
Personally, I don't think triple layer HD DVDs will happen, nor do I care.
Jack
but that's the price I knew I might pay for being an early adopter. Still, I'll be surprised if my current player will not be able to play any "next-generation" Blu-Ray or HD DVD discs.
I fully expect to eventually replace/relegate to another room my current player with a more full-featured player(s) down the road. Hopefully, AFTER the format war is resolved, but that possibility just took a big hit.
It'll be interesting to see how well LOTR extended versions w/ lossless audio fits on a 30G disc....
I expect a few glitches with my player too. Hell, I already have a few glitches. :-( Hopefully it won't be alot of discs, and hopefully, Samsung will upgrade the FW.
I expect LOTR to be the studio versions.
Jack
so I can hopefully resolve an audio dropout problem I've occasionally had. Hopefully the transition from 1.0 to 1.1 will ONLY require a firmware upgrade (if that).
I'm hoping for a FW upgrade so my player will be more reliable. I'm *hoping* I don't have issues with 1.1 discs.
Jack
> > > "I doubt it. They'd probably have to do a spec rewrite and hardware redesign. I don't think it's in the cards. They didn't plan for anything more than 30G for the movie application." < < <HD-DVD applications are constantly evolving; system upgrades are pretty much downloadable as well.
> > > "HD DVD also has a tighter restriction on audio/video bitrate which I strongly suspect has already compromised PQ/SQ on certain HD DVD movies." < < <
'Suspect', okay, suspicion is a reasonable response, but so far I've seen no evidence of compromised source material on my 1080P Sammy, much less heard it from any reliable non-biased industry source. Have you made any A/B comparisons of Blu-ray/HD-DVD performance, oscar?
As you know, I have no dog in this hunt save for my desire to own high resolution copies of my favorite films. The HD format which delivers my favorite films will remain my 'drug' of choice until a reasonably priced multi-format player enters the market and expands my options further.
Respectfully,
AuPh
The challenges to fit high-resolution audio and video technology on a disc aren't future, they're current.
And as for the future, those were Disney's comments, and I'd think they're referring to BD-J developments that should prove interesting.
-------------"I have found that if you love life, life will love you back." -Arthur Rubinstein (1887-1982)
Economies of scale would eventually drive Blu-Ray (and HD DVD) hardware costs to something close to DVD player prices. The software costs are essentially a wash with the exception of the Universal combo discs which are more expensive.
I'd just soon opt for the format with the best potential for PQ/SQ with movies (and STILL the best studio/CE support). That's Blu-Ray until proven conclusively the extra storage/bandwidth makes absolutely no difference.
The best choice is to avoid both formats until the situation is settled once and for all. Over the past few months, I have been looking at the shelves at retail stores to see what titles are available on both formats. Thus far, not much of interest to me. Standard DVD will just have to suffice for the next few years.
Maybe getting an HD tuner for Dishnetwork broadcasts a big mistake. DVDs didn't look quite as good after watching broadcast HD movies on the big screen. I decided to pay an early adopter price because I was no longer interested in DVDs but still wanted day&date releases of new movies on HD.
But you are right the Paramount decision will simply prolong the format war and delay mass adoption of HD media content for exactly the reasons you stated.
... the software prices apparently aren't a wash since HD-DVDs are easier and cheaper to produce. SONY is apparently willing to absorb a percentage of the hardware AND software production costs in order to remain price point competitive with HD-DVD. Who knows how long that will continue.> > > "Economies of scale would eventually drive Blu-Ray (and HD DVD) hardware costs to something close to DVD player prices." < < <
True, but will a $100 Blu-ray player be more appealing than, say, a $60 HD-DVD player if both appear to deliver the same goods? As far as software capacity is concerned, will Joe Public see any advantage to taking a steamer trunk on a 2 hour trip when an overnight bag will suffice? ;0)
Now that Paramount has formally jumped ship on Blu-ray I wouldn't expect this format war to end for years. I'm pretty sure that retailers aren't happy about carrying dual inventories or studios making exclusivity deals favoring just one format, but that's what's happening.
The bottom line is that both HD formats are headed for 'niche city' unless the hardware manufacturers can get player costs down sufficiently enough to make multi-format players appealing to Joe Public. Exclusivity raises the ante, because then it's not just an issue of capacity or software cost, but rather the consumer's tastes in movies. It's a hardball tactic that could backfire, as a frustrated consumer being pressured to choose between favorite films released only in one or the other format will likely tell both formats to take a hike in lieu of having a reasonably priced multi-format player or mandated dual inventory solution.
AuPh
- This is from Dec. '06; it's just as true today from the average consumer's perspective. (Open in New Window)
And that's just one of the problems with having a raging format war. A lot of people just aren't ready yet to commit money to a "potential Betamax".
I still half-expect the retailers to play a role. If it's clear one format is losing the sales battle, the Best Buys of this world just might stop carrying the losing format's product or at least stop maintaining dual inventories of the same HD movie. After all, they can always sell the DVD version.
[Image from Erich Von Stroheim's silent classic GREED]> > > "And that's just one of the problems with having a raging format war. A lot of people just aren't ready yet to commit money to a "potential Betamax"." < < <
But Oscar, you're trying to compare apples and oranges, or rather Apple & an an Orangutan! The VHS/Beta war had no compromise solution; to my knowledge there were never any videotape machines manufactured or marketed to consumers capable of playing both formats. Returning to my analogy, that's the monkey wrench, my friend: this is an 800lb gorilla, and it ain't goin' away anytime soon, at least not without making a grab for all the bananas!
This isn't just about software capacity or consumer hunger for a high definition delivery system for movies. From my ringside seat it looks like another heavy-weight grudge match between Bill Gates and Steve Jobs! In one corner you have Microsoft, with it's formidable clout and industry dominance, backing HD-DVD, and in the other you have SONY, partnered with Disney which owns PIXAR with Steve Jobs it's largest shareholder.
Here's another analogy (Oh, nooooOOOOO! -grin); this time boxing (Don King would be envious):
The strategies include rope-a-dope (heavy promotion to lure sideline gamblers, or rather, early adopters), fading (dropping prices), one-two punches (up to 5 'free' movies with either boxer's p-o-p label), below the belt jabs (exclusivity deals), hitting side-lined consumers with sucker punches (ring side seats for those willing to invest in early round players offered at rock bottom prices) and finally, the most devious strategy of all, hanging back for later rounds (holding back key titles)
If I were you, I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for either Bill Gates or Steve Jobs to blink, oscar. I suspect that this format war (Boxer rebellion? -grin) is going to be with us much longer than any of the others. Might as well settle in and opt for a decent multi-format player with the right features when the prices come down. Keep in mind that Microsoft is still an undefeated heavyweight, and Apple, all the hype aside, is still the hungry contender trying to figure an angle to knock the champ out for the count with a well placed haymaker; depending upon who is officiating, the best one can hope for is that this bout will end in a draw. ;0)
Cheers,
AuPh
- Steve Jobs (SONY/Disney/Pixar) - Old news, but it's easy to see where this is leading. (Open in New Window)
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